Cumulative Straw Poll Tally - As of December 4, 2011
UPDATED DEC 4, 2011 - What evidence shows the strongest indicator of support for a candidate? Live straw poll votes or phone polls? If you tally all the straw poll results for 2011, you will see that Ron Paul is winning by a cumulative tally. Below are the results of the cumulative total taken from all the straw polls reported on wikipedia. This evidence is the strongest indicator of support for the candidates because they are the most likely to vote.
Total Votes Per Candidate |
***% of Total Votes |
|
| Ron Paul | 12,672 | 25.17% |
| Cain | 9,120 | 18.12% |
| Bachmann | 6,305 | 12.53% |
| Romney | 5,044 | 10.02% |
| Perry | 4,879 | 9.69% |
| Santorum | 3,110 | 6.18% |
| Gingrich | 2,660 | 5.28% |
***Note: Percentages are calculated from the total number straw poll votes (50,340). Not all candidates who participated in the straw polls are listed above. |
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Ron Paul has won 19 straw polls and taken 2nd place in 7 (out of 44 total). The proof is right in front of you, more people show up for Ron Paul than any other candidate, period.
2011 Total Straw Poll Tally Chart - A Visual Perspective
Now that you know the real numbers, let's see how the total votes stack up as they came in per straw poll. This chart displays the total votes each candidate received in a timeline format per straw poll. The 1st straw poll in this chart was in Derry, New Hampshire on January 22, 2011. The 44th straw poll in this chart was in Dubuque, Iowa on December 1, 2011. The largest spike in this graph was from the Ames, IA Straw Poll.
Despite what the main stream media reports, if we measured the front runners by total votes, Ron Paul would have been the front runner out the gate and maintained his position throughout the entire race. Bachmann, Perry, and Santorum all seem to flatline at around the 28th straw poll. Romney, Gingrich, and Cain all seem to keep steady votes trickling in but Paul's momentum has been the most active throughout the entire race.
Now that Cain has stepped out of the race, the main stream media is actually right about one thing - the race has clearly come down to Romney, Gingrich, and Paul. The thing they fail to report on is that Ron Paul has had the most support from the very beginning and continues to gain momentum. By the looks of this chart, I'm saying he's unstoppable.
Straw Poll Data in Detail
There were 2 straw polls omitted in this study, one was the online poll held on 2/27/11 in Arizona (Ron Paul won that with 49%) and I ommited the second tally they did of non-Iowa residents on 10/29/11 (Ron Paul won that with 26%). I chose to leave these two out because I'm trying to show true LIVE straw poll votes (Local) to be fair. I believe that LIVE straw poll votes are a stronger indicator of candidate support than any phone polls or any online polls. If there are any other stronger indicators of support than live straw polls, please leave your comments below and we will take the study further.
See full size spreadsheet - click here